Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864d4155b62431499f469772de81ea9b7daa1c87b78047e4aa9cc2fbcd222640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Canada, Qatar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,622,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,274,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,622,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc11…eec6backed Canada | 56c | 3,608,735$2,007,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601,634.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Qatar | 44c | 1,276,105$563,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563,024.44 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Qatar | 46c | 927,368$422,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422,087.24 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Qatar | 44c | 532,389$234,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,251.16 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Qatar | 44c | 450,000$198,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,000 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Canada | 55c | 400,000$220,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,999.94 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Canada | 56c | 357,143$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,142.86 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Canada | 52c | 299,999$156,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,999.72 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Qatar | 45c | 243,773$110,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,542.8 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Qatar | 44c | 230,752$101,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,530.92 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…e9fdbacked Canada | 55c | 202,653$112,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,194 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Canada | 52c | 182,387$94,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,843.08 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Qatar | 44c | 179,200$78,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,848.05 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qatar | 45c | 161,403$72,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,117.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Qatar | 45c | 155,554$69,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,999.29 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed Canada | 51c | 152,197$77,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,576.33 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Qatar | 48c | 147,677$70,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,884.96 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Canada | 53c | 145,000$76,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,150 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qatar | 45c | 112,130$50,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,836.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Canada | 53c | 109,110$57,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,281.7 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canada | 54c | 99,999$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Qatar | 45c | 96,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Qatar | 44c | 74,453$32,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,759.44 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Qatar | 47c | 68,069$31,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,992.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Qatar | 44c | 67,500$29,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,700 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Canada | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Qatar | 49c | 57,051$27,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,954.99 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Qatar | 49c | 50,588$24,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,788.11 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed Canada | 52c | 50,000$25,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,249.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Qatar | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Qatar | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Qatar | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.98 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Qatar | 48c | 39,872$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,249.71 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Qatar | 44c | 39,610$17,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,428.39 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Qatar | 47c | 38,665$18,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,277.85 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canada | 56c | 37,576$21,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,533.6 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Qatar | 46c | 36,024$16,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,398.93 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Qatar | 44c | 35,156$15,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,468.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…20fbbacked Qatar | 48c | 32,824$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,755.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Qatar | 48c | 30,873$14,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,786.1 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed Qatar | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Qatar | 48c | 28,367$13,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,474.61 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Canada | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Qatar | 49c | 24,000$11,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,760 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Qatar | 46c | 23,913$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Qatar | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Qatar | 48c | 22,625$10,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.96 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Qatar | 48c | 21,295$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.6 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qatar | 18c | 20,996$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Qatar | 45c | 20,663$9,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,298.17 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Qatar | 46c | 20,120$9,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.1 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Canada | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Qatar | 46c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.79 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Canada | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canada | 56c | 19,417$10,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.84 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…c5a8backed Qatar | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed Qatar | 45c | 17,494$7,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,870.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Qatar | 47c | 17,000$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.97 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Qatar | 45c | 15,240$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canada | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Qatar | 46c | 14,048$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.46 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qatar | 47c | 13,209$6,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,257.6 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Qatar | 46c | 13,043$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Qatar | 46c | 13,000$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Qatar | 43c | 11,940$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Qatar | 46c | 11,909$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…cec5backed Qatar | 45c | 11,771$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Canada | 52c | 11,193$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.79 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Qatar | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Qatar | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Qatar | 45c | 10,844$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.14 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Canada | 56c | 10,566$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Qatar | 48c | 10,563$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.51 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Qatar | 44c | 10,318$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Qatar | 45c | 10,290$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.17 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Canada | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Qatar | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Qatar | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Qatar | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Canada | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Qatar | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Canada | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…1e1ebacked Qatar | 1c | 9,761$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Qatar | 49c | 9,600$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Qatar | 45c | 9,303$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.23 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Canada | 55c | 9,245$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.19 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Qatar | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Canada | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Canada | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Canada | 56c | 8,866$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Canada | 53c | 8,840$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Canada | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Qatar | 46c | 8,751$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.81 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Qatar | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Qatar | 49c | 8,507$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.31 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Qatar | 46c | 8,500$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Qatar | 49c | 8,400$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Canada | 51c | 8,382$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.18 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Qatar | 49c | 8,000$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.47 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.