TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,413,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,633,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over35c174,231$60,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,250.344456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c156,504$84,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,187.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over77c120,699$92,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,760.7613738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over36c105,359$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,858.5519644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under20c40,915$8,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,361.5914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over35c34,587$12,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,543.361,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under7c30,342$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.7536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over34c29,155$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,155.464025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under7c25,451$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.5864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over78c24,936$19,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,365.5234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under65c20,823$13,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,534.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c20,126$12,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,607.6977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c14,229$7,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,459.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c14,101$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,379.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over57c13,122$7,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,686.251,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c12,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under64c12,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under8c11,595$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over79c10,054$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.0849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5009253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c9,818$6,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,383.31,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c9,783$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.41,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over63c8,779$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.1939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c8,729$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under9c8,114$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.575541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c8,031$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.261,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under67c7,463$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under66c7,445$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.4724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under65c6,982$4,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,568.114158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over35c5,714$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.2913544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57e…6d8dbacked Under69c5,327$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Under65c5,231$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4008951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Over77c5,201$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.3210753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under9c5,118$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Under14c5,107$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.648226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under14c5,092$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.2434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under8c5,087$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7216325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c4,826$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under12c4,692$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5615929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c4,684$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Under15c4,450$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4617732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under66c4,394$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under7c4,385$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.829835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Under22c4,364$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under64c4,200$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Under17c3,800$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under64c3,600$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under64c3,492$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.7837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under20c3,411$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c3,409$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.841,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over49c3,193$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.4311558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under67c3,134$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5608950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Under7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9918738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Over77c2,994$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.7110655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Over77c2,971$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3611559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86a4…65f3backed Under67c2,941$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under19c2,782$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.8725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c2,612$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under21c2,501$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2314829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over34c2,500$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over34c2,493$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under11c2,447$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.044744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under64c2,400$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under64c2,400$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over76c2,382$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over77c2,321$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8511254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over79c2,313$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.761,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over77c2,174$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under7c2,089$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over50c2,080$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0408254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Under8c2,057$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5412724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c2,047$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under52c1,888$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.765429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under55c1,845$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under64c1,800$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under64c1,800$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over77c1,700$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.331,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Under59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under20c1,653$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0746939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1178…9fc9backed Under67c1,648$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.31757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Under65c1,600$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Under67c1,588$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.923855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under58c1,519$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.17943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under14c1,514$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.136538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Under12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over77c1,490$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.91,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Over35c1,486$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.715433.3%18 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c1,471$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.5930219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under7c1,469$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.615336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over72c1,464$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over78c1,439$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5214463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.