Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f60e5676a93a206a7a6556515ed8b6670eed545801f8102ade8f714afdf4822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 2c | 1,793$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,065$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 1,025$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 71c | 821.85$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.51 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…e9abbacked Over | 28c | 718.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.46 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 28c | 693.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Over | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Over | 29c | 624$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.04 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 71c | 482.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over | 31c | 435.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 328.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 275.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…9ff2backed Under | 75c | 198.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 196.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 30c | 186.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 30c | 166.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 71c | 99.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 71c | 98.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 93.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 29c | 92.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 22.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.