Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8f9de4187c386fe979bcdc2d9fffeec196592715e3977a0ab99a756d97571c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $169,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	12c	23,902$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.91	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over	22c	11,111$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.3	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	11c	7,871$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.22	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf016…1f07backed Over	16c	2,821$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Over	7c	2,662$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.28	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Under	78c	2,561$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.82	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over	2c	2,508$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	2c	2,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	7c	1,948$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.12	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	13c	1,583$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.36	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Under	78c	1,514$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.18	93	31.2%29 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over	9c	1,475$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	116	44%51 W · 65 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over	12c	1,316$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over	5c	1,220$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.7	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	5c	1,198$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.49	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31d…68a0backed Over	8c	1,130$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over	2c	1,117$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65e2…a4c4backed Under	78c	1,028$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.19	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+6.2wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2871…3edcbacked Over	2c	929.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over	3c	785.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	10c	660$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.85	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	3c	600$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	20c	415$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over	5c	400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	269	21.6%58 W · 211 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over	26c	386.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under	78c	321.64$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.47	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed Over	17c	319.58$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under	74c	296.18$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.01	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Under	78c	291.69$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.88	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	7c	256.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Under	78c	241.03$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.03	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	8c	239.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	14c	195.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.22	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Over	18c	179.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.01	115	37.4%43 W · 72 L	-10.6wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	17c	174.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Over	17c	131.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c5…2a38backed Under	80c	125.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837e…49a7backed Over	23c	109.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over	24c	105.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x970e…613ebacked Under	78c	102.43$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.43	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe997…61b6backed Over	15c	101.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	133	24.8%33 W · 100 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under	78c	100.88$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	402	40%161 W · 241 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked Under	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	41	65.9%27 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	252	21.4%54 W · 198 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Over	14c	97.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over	14c	70.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over	26c	57.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cd…368ebacked Under	80c	45.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Under	78c	34.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.47	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2dbc…8979backed Under	78c	31.37$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.87	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	75c	30.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under	79c	19.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5this page
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event