TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,042,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,135,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b89…4244backed Under48c100,000$48,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,317.0117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over20c62,650$12,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,200.2519644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Under37c49,111$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under16c40,460$6,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,607.2914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under10c24,113$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.2223540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under16c23,291$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.4436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over35c16,142$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,563.081,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under62c15,847$9,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,773.5377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under29c14,419$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.0144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under46c12,011$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5004854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over17c12,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,959.8917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under14c11,840$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.1237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c11,446$6,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.272,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over18c11,409$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,355.1259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over55c10,114$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.5264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over56c9,846$5,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c9,118$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,766.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under79c8,870$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.8777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed Under25c8,268$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.981662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under34c6,790$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.6614544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over66c6,394$4,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.769742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c6,125$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.651,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c5,826$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.6149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under18c5,530$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.6915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over17c5,500$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.9934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under34c5,436$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.8433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under36c5,416$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.8536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c5,066$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c4,898$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.354,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over53c4,690$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.253554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under19c4,492$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83834533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,365$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over55c4,229$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.0537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7757…120cbacked Under79c4,111$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.533073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over69c3,990$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under10c3,938$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7714445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under10c3,724$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under36c3,723$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.762,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over17c3,333$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.1132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under14c3,280$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under17c3,184$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.629740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under10c3,104$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over18c3,067$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Over60c2,863$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.5610655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Over54c2,748$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.4710753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under72c2,600$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8625466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under36c2,523$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over52c2,327$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.1730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under56c2,264$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.0898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c2,153$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.961,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Under29c2,044$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.6212724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under61c2,023$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.077943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over75c2,012$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.226543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over71c2,008$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under9c1,986$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under78c1,800$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39513548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93626949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under32c1,792$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2318548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c1,787$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over53c1,764$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.1511254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over66c1,739$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.0119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over56c1,722$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.631,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over58c1,719$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.962,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under28c1,710$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3943145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under10c1,693$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over43c1,638$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2118449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over68c1,618$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over71c1,609$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.512,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over75c1,603$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.83568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over54c1,564$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Over55c1,551$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.088143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under22c1,536$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.676538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over58c1,522$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.812,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over66c1,515$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c1,503$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.211,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c1,478$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Over53c1,347$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.089962.6%62 W · 37 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under75c1,337$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over16c1,300$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09210518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over75c1,263$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6715650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under32c1,259$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.731,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under32c1,242$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.6943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under28c1,240$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over75c1,216$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.995669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ef…098bbacked Over77c1,209$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.553652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under47c1,206$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4127845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over75c1,161$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2214463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over66c1,136$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3633843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.113935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under26c1,091$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under42c1,070$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.398254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over66c1,050$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3573855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under31c1,027$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over54c1,023$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Under9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.