TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Yes23c4,278$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c3,816$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes15c3,498$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6828251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c2,533$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes20c1,855$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36924917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes17c1,804$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Yes17c1,700$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2896216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes6c1,305$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…c0e6backed Yes16c1,288$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7412615.1%19 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes17c1,187$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.432,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes13c1,175$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes16c1,106$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.731,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c1,090$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.084,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100449.1%4 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Yes17c456.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.628622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes12c289.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x015b…ce56backed Yes18c259.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46280%0 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes8c257.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes15c193.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes25c187$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.751,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252030%6 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes15c158.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes12c130.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Yes15c112.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.883622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da1…b37abacked Yes15c102.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-47.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…c659backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes16c96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4629…ab9abacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2b…53a5backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes16c84.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.499439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd54a…f2c3backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107132.4%23 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec53…3f16backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa890…92b1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+67.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x15d4…81e1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.