TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,175,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,311,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,175,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 884 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Over56c299,998$167,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,999.115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under44c190,758$83,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,933.563345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c161,123$69,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,520.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over57c150,535$85,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,729.844748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under42c138,999$58,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,379.7832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under43c133,522$57,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,414.6242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c132,499$52,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,048.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under44c89,625$39,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,438.791,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over58c86,207$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,206.919644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over56c80,000$44,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,20042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over57c75,826$43,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,605.373759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c73,957$30,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,752.5877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over57c69,684$39,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,964.0215249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over57c60,000$34,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,799.8717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Under43c48,540$20,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,718.985147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over58c40,000$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,8004148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over58c36,207$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,206.94040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under4c30,374$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.3236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under29c28,970$8,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,346.912,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under19c28,515$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.3914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Under43c24,152$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,385.176633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under42c24,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0803154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c23,937$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Under45c22,219$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Over58c20,690$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,689.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under42c20,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.99253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c18,000$10,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5602,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c16,115$9,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,842.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under4c15,072$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4506842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under1c13,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over70c10,979$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,293.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c10,838$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over74c10,483$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.4539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c10,298$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,428.021,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3008158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c9,522$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,204.271,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c9,211$6,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under41c9,060$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.74751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.9919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under42c8,668$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.5621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Over58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.692259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under43c8,196$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.157653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c7,767$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.0229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over58c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.5513544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under43c6,888$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.845345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under43c6,870$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.217754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Under44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c6,645$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.521,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over70c6,364$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c6,346$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a4…65f3backed Under43c6,300$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Over57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under6c5,966$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35214433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c5,858$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under4c5,837$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under44c5,682$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under12c5,449$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.876538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over73c5,400$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45815440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Under4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.989048.9%44 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under43c4,899$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c4,731$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Under44c4,495$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over53c4,482$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.842,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under43c4,251$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.0523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over57c4,211$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.5332739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under43c4,186$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Under42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.932334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c3,750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under43c3,642$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.953348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under4c3,625$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.679926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over56c3,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.6814445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over57c3,497$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.3631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.286550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over55c3,154$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.471250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1178…9fc9backed Under43c3,100$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c2,711$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under43c2,698$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under44c2,598$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14313857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Over58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2111245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c2,520$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.191,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.