TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Qatar (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Canadaof Qatar, Canada
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Qatar1c14,924$169 inLost-$168.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Qatar3c10,000$349 inLost-$348.7224917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa864…3834backed Qatar2c7,514$140 inLost-$1401926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Qatar2c2,700$54 inLost-$543067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Qatar2c2,238$43 inLost-$43.3595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Qatar2c1,691$34 inLost-$33.8210019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Qatar2c1,683$34 inLost-$33.6665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Qatar2c1,000$20 inLost-$2023640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5687…bc04backed Qatar2c1,000$20 inLost-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5898…8229backed Qatar2c971.2$20 inLost-$202626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Qatar2c957.96$19 inLost-$18.5751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Qatar2c721.79$15 inLost-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed Qatar2c610$12 inLost-$11.953333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Qatar2c526.32$10 inLost-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Qatar2c500$10 inLost-$107138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed Qatar2c500$10 inLost-$1010319.4%20 W · 83 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…4ddebacked Qatar2c500$10 inLost-$106536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.