TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c1,467$294 inLost-$294.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed No77c802.05$615 inWon+$186.667153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No77c687.51$532 inWon+$155.912,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No78c599.96$468 inWon+$131.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No76c548.27$417 inWon+$131.52,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes23c500$115 inLost-$11514440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes22c409.09$90 inLost-$9024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No77c383.05$297 inWon+$86.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Yes26c378.63$100 inLost-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes10c265.64$27 inLost-$26.861,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c259.63$190 inWon+$70.11,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes25c200$50 inLost-$49.922656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes24c184.22$43 inLost-$43.45449.1%4 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c170.99$133 inWon+$37.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c164.89$127 inWon+$38.162,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c163.99$125 inWon+$39.362,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes20c130$26 inLost-$2622824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes22c114.8$25 inLost-$252030%6 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes21c104.39$22 inLost-$21.8343460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca4f…7852backed Yes25c103.55$26 inLost-$265425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Yes28c100$28 inLost-$2828544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes26c97.27$25 inLost-$24.965540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No76c95.58$73 inWon+$22.671,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c75.72$13 inLost-$13.121,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No77c60.74$47 inWon+$13.891,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No74c53.88$40 inWon+$14.0153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Yes23c47.61$11 inLost-$10.958742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No77c42.75$33 inWon+$9.7220561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cf…b515backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5a…c430backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-85.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No79c15$12 inWon+$3.131,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.