TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over52c101,181$52,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,740.5714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over39c48,945$18,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,062.593759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c44,913$23,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,758.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c23,466$14,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.231,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c22,245$9,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,395.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,15074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under61c14,000$8,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5403762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under62c12,000$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,489.972934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under10c9,236$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.395236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under62c8,498$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.191,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Under61c7,732$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.55843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204a…a4eabacked Under7c7,603$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under15c6,648$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.26624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over37c5,405$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.4115034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under36c5,282$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under39c3,919$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.429233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over69c3,646$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.1559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c3,137$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over35c3,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.9822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c2,663$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.42,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over38c2,454$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.048748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under41c2,300$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.1716755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c2,116$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.273,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c2,074$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under63c1,923$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.487044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under20c1,635$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7722029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over39c1,538$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4624917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0783…8027backed Under43c1,347$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.891338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under62c1,341$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.257549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over45c1,224$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.084772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c1,147$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over56c1,143$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.561,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over69c1,111$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.515060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over59c1,092$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under44c1,049$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under62c1,035$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.531,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under61c1,031$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.831,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under38c1,024$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under61c1,021$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.351,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4708950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under63c999.98$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c924.21$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over39c897.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4446223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over39c897.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4437223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c880.66$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.181,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over40c803$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.86246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2318742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under63c714.25$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over60c666.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over37c646.84$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5113736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e7…242ebacked Over38c638.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under63c633.1$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under39c618.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over46c578.09$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.941,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under45c570.92$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under56c546.71$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1445248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c544.18$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.21,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c540.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8211335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4073…97a1backed Under61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over38c484.21$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.217847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over62c451.75$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over37c443.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7111839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c422.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.92,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c420$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4124242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over37c403.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0712040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under41c401.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8429740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c389.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.864,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over39c385.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.363823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under43c359.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8623637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb90…2bd9backed Under40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over37c349.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4912241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under61c335.2$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4738745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under38c322.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.622,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over37c297.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dec…c9d7backed Over37c293.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c286$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.32,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over37c283.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.787850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over38c281.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.284740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over37c269.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.648338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c94…6ba9backed Under61c259.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15811544.3%51 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under62c255.79$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5936448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under61c255.22$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15522452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Under58c242$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under39c237.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.728251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c234.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.318032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c191.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7632740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.