Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b93f32e8d5c93dbf024ce43cad79d27f2522e8ed8e49e78559fabae1bef697c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8453…0db2backed Under | 33c | 2,229$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 34c | 2,129$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 1,228$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 32c | 875.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 67c | 545.67$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 541.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Under | 33c | 511.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Over | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +12.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Over | 65c | 489.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Over | 67c | 356.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 34c | 349.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 65c | 328.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…663fbacked Over | 67c | 263.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 67c | 177.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…550cbacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…53a9backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 127.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 37c | 100.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 68c | 97.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Over | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 57.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 66c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.