Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5038cb8d1ae39e35eded49cbcb86ccf579de09935ba069050db28f07a05c23c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Haiti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,889,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,622,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,889,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Brazil | 53c | 425,070$225,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,069.81 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed Brazil | 52c | 407,868$213,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,497.9 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Haiti | 48c | 267,787$128,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,008.47 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Haiti | 47c | 257,687$121,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,139.44 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Haiti | 49c | 244,897$119,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,999.32 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Haiti | 49c | 177,999$87,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,219.39 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Haiti | 49c | 139,522$68,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,832.69 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Haiti | 45c | 135,008$60,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,867.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Brazil | 52c | 91,000$47,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,679.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Haiti | 48c | 83,665$39,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,746.83 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Brazil | 51c | 74,860$38,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,681.4 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Haiti | 48c | 68,346$32,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,485.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Haiti | 47c | 65,705$30,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,881.22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Haiti | 49c | 52,121$25,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,539.37 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil | 52c | 50,000$26,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Brazil | 52c | 49,496$25,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,575.72 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Brazil | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,049.95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Brazil | 52c | 42,000$21,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,189.99 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Brazil | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,461.54 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 53c | 37,304$19,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,679.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Brazil | 53c | 36,981$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,381.13 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 57c | 36,944$21,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,765.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Haiti | 47c | 32,109$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.76 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Brazil | 51c | 31,000$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Brazil | 52c | 28,846$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,846.15 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Haiti | 47c | 27,740$13,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,120.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Haiti | 5c | 26,590$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.37 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Brazil | 52c | 25,970$13,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,465.79 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Haiti | 48c | 23,493$11,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.52 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti | 48c | 22,884$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Brazil | 51c | 20,999$10,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,289.51 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Haiti | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Haiti | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Haiti | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.95 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Brazil | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Brazil | 51c | 17,780$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.44 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Haiti | 48c | 17,632$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Brazil | 52c | 16,815$8,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,071.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Brazil | 52c | 16,406$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,856.02 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Haiti | 9c | 16,098$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.91 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Brazil | 51c | 15,385$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.34 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Haiti | 51c | 15,140$7,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,709.14 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil | 52c | 15,052$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,215.97 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Brazil | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.94 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Haiti | 47c | 13,733$6,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.36 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…a00fbacked Brazil | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Haiti | 48c | 13,623$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.65 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Haiti | 47c | 13,566$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.04 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Haiti | 47c | 12,962$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.57 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Brazil | 52c | 12,800$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Haiti | 48c | 12,384$5,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.2 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Haiti | 6c | 11,848$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.7 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Brazil | 53c | 11,450$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edc…77bfbacked Brazil | 51c | 10,435$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Haiti | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Haiti | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Haiti | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Haiti | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Haiti | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Haiti | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Brazil | 53c | 9,906$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Brazil | 59c | 9,617$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Brazil | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Brazil | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Brazil | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Haiti | 48c | 8,500$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.04 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Haiti | 48c | 8,385$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.28 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Brazil | 52c | 8,309$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.3 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Haiti | 46c | 8,188$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.96 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Haiti | 59c | 8,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Brazil | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Haiti | 49c | 7,852$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.06 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Haiti | 47c | 7,559$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.1 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Brazil | 44c | 6,887$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.79 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Haiti | 48c | 6,852$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.96 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Brazil | 53c | 6,622$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.92 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Brazil | 52c | 6,500$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.98 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Brazil | 56c | 6,385$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.22 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Brazil | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…d1a3backed Brazil | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Brazil | 51c | 5,793$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.36 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Brazil | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Brazil | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Brazil | 53c | 5,669$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.12 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Brazil | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Brazil | 55c | 5,449$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.09 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Haiti | 48c | 5,215$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.04 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Haiti | 48c | 5,178$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.25 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Brazil | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed Brazil | 52c | 5,000$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Haiti | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Haiti | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Brazil | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Brazil | 51c | 4,769$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.98 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Haiti | 46c | 4,736$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.56 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Brazil | 67c | 4,730$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.33 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Brazil | 51c | 4,659$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.83 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Brazil | 74c | 4,599$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.71 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Brazil | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil | 78c | 4,494$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.79 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.