Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2068754e38232b76498b35cfa513858e7a2e7bc86cd169448ec879d40c128cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 68c | 1,187$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 32c | 1,115$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.05 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 530.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…0e41backed Over | 71c | 423.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over | 44c | 377.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 308.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 298.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…584fbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 59c | 262.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 241.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 173.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…2bbfbacked Over | 62c | 162.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 159.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 58c | 133.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 62c | 130.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Over | 64c | 129.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 21c | 118.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…2074backed Under | 74c | 108.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 97.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Under | 38c | 93.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 38c | 85.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…ee09backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Over | 33c | 63.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…748abacked Over | 67c | 61.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…1ec0backed Under | 46c | 59.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 40c | 52.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 66c | 51.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…e981backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 31c | 47.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…68e2backed Over | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 47.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…8ed3backed Over | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…711abacked Under | 43c | 35.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 58c | 32.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…2f84backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 38c | 31.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 63c | 30.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 68c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…ee98backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…bcbfbacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…b5d3backed Over | 69c | 20.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.