Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb22c2efff034cec90642b8ba887935741f58d1b9dcc37fb693bdefe9cc7347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 5c | 12,498$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.4 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…c626backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Over | 5c | 4,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…3954backed Over | 9c | 3,246$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Over | 4c | 1,332$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…b421backed Over | 5c | 1,300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Over | 5c | 892.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 3c | 817.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 2c | 799.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 5c | 777$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5917…bcfbbacked Over | 5c | 618.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 5c | 580.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 499.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…832fbacked Over | 4c | 490.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 5c | 401.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Over | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 5c | 370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Over | 5c | 270.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 4c | 266.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 6c | 234.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 5c | 200.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…24d1backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…5c98backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.