Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89f917f8a6130a5dd5be31abb8f220a4bffaf25927ae9d6d3661c2e29d17bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 40c | 7,777$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.68 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 4,751$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.4 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 3,674$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…230ebacked Over | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.95 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 30c | 1,835$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 55c | 1,540$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.6 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 64c | 564.54$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 39c | 531.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 65c | 483.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 36c | 405.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 57c | 341$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 55c | 303$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 209.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 208$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 63c | 197.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed Under | 67c | 149.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…541fbacked Over | 31c | 143.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 135.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Over | 39c | 132.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…87efbacked Over | 41c | 121.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 61c | 118.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 113.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a9…68efbacked Over | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Over | 38c | 105.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 62c | 95.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Over | 46c | 67.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Over | 39c | 51.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…c03dbacked Over | 36c | 50.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…a566backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 61c | 26.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.