Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5c6b57d0648ee811c06427ff29ddd931d4ea03778d71adce2265162b2867bd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 1c | 96,861$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.27 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 3c | 73,728$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 2c | 14,773$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 1c | 13,830$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 2c | 10,324$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 5c | 6,665$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Under | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Under | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 2c | 3,723$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 2c | 3,347$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 3c | 3,333$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 3c | 3,102$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Under | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 3c | 2,463$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 3c | 2,359$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 2c | 2,296$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 2c | 2,054$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Under | 3c | 1,820$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 2c | 1,686$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Under | 2c | 1,550$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under | 2c | 1,455$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 4c | 1,219$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Under | 2c | 1,033$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…e080backed Under | 2c | 1,027$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 3c | 833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 816.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 2c | 556.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 4c | 542.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…4141backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…e804backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…f0f3backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 3c | 469.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 3c | 447$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 3c | 418.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…e0a7backed Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.