TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under78c25,004$19,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,410.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c14,420$10,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,982.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over21c7,006$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,566.6530054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over17c5,555$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.6532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c4,770$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9119218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c4,676$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under80c4,451$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.8144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under47c4,340$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.1736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under1c4,154$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Over40c4,004$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over34c3,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.9814433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c3,461$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over26c3,370$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.878640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under67c3,100$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.5336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under1c3,060$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.919323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c3,011$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.364,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c2,824$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over22c2,741$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.9653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over26c2,404$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.6627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over26c2,372$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over23c2,349$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.641,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over24c2,289$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.3120150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb831…2ed4backed Over25c1,998$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.771020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under75c1,966$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.3625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under56c1,717$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.7743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c1,684$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6746223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over17c1,647$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.065143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c1,505$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.4811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c1,418$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.542,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under76c1,398$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.1718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c1,389$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c1,377$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c1,325$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c1,230$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.71,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under47c1,202$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9426647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.1137223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over25c1,077$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under73c999.98$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c999.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c999.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over27c980.96$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under70c978.45$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.4126344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over24c957.55$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.7424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Under64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c860$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c849.99$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.291,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under73c764.49$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.0437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over26c761.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over20c745.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Under72c741.11$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5512342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over25c734.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.882045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over24c731$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under65c712.68$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.591,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over26c689.54$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Over27c689.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over26c672.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.5622919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…1b89backed Under76c657.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over18c623.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9746939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under19c574.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over28c564.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under79c562.56$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c472.81$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over29c448.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.289348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over26c417.17$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over20c409.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9212419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under72c408$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.766238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over27c390.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…7b64backed Over26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over21c379.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0122933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under67c335.7$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over15c319.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.99529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over34c318$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.889345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under63c317.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under78c314.25$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c300.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.381,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20122835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Over29c288.77$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.776936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over77c273.72$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6217223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c268.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc932…289bbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed Over17c251.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.051225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c231.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.551,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under72c221.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.969835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under57c210$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.11,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Under72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9d…44b5backed Over27c207.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over17c205.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8849426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Over26c192.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.39926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over42c191.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.412429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c180.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.393,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.