Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38fd2da92a4b67e9a3e83ca109d45d28999069393e95c41f534da0bb8d6af1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haitiof Brazil, Haiti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,620,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,626,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,620,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Haiti | 67c | 398,192$268,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,026.25 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Brazil | 33c | 212,068$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Brazil | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.93 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Haiti | 62c | 82,547$51,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,515.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Haiti | 68c | 63,346$43,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,152.76 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Haiti | 67c | 62,049$41,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,205.72 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Brazil | 34c | 54,801$18,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,359.32 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 40c | 50,112$20,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,068.04 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Brazil | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Brazil | 15c | 40,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Haiti | 68c | 38,623$26,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,435.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil | 30c | 30,707$9,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.19 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Brazil | 31c | 28,403$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.08 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Haiti | 66c | 22,222$14,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.48 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Haiti | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Brazil | 24c | 19,563$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.16 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Brazil | 71c | 14,565$10,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,295.49 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Brazil | 31c | 12,598$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.38 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brazil | 74c | 11,309$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Haiti | 68c | 10,254$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.22 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Haiti | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Brazil | 33c | 9,999$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.67 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Brazil | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 52c | 9,344$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.1 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Haiti | 66c | 9,070$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.66 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Haiti | 69c | 8,329$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Brazil | 37c | 7,084$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.39 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Haiti | 67c | 6,861$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Brazil | 32c | 6,842$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.17 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Brazil | 42c | 6,800$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Brazil | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Brazil | 30c | 6,087$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.46 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Brazil | 30c | 6,065$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.9 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Brazil | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab6…05febacked Brazil | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Brazil | 76c | 5,563$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.07 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Haiti | 68c | 5,214$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.46 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Brazil | 69c | 5,205$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.87 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Brazil | 31c | 5,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Haiti | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Haiti | 67c | 4,736$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.88 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Brazil | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Haiti | 25c | 4,050$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.28 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Haiti | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Brazil | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Haiti | 67c | 3,680$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.4 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Haiti | 59c | 3,538$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.04 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Haiti | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Haiti | 65c | 3,399$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Brazil | 30c | 3,332$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Brazil | 45c | 3,299$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.11 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8597backed Brazil | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Brazil | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Brazil | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b4…e777backed Brazil | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Brazil | 31c | 3,103$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.97 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Haiti | 67c | 3,079$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Brazil | 32c | 3,051$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.32 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Brazil | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Haiti | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Haiti | 43c | 2,992$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.84 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Haiti | 37c | 2,992$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.84 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Brazil | 31c | 2,970$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.06 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Brazil | 31c | 2,913$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.6 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Brazil | 31c | 2,858$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…43d1backed Brazil | 22c | 2,717$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Haiti | 40c | 2,657$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.75 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Haiti | 69c | 2,628$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.1 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Brazil | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 32c | 2,503$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Haiti | 69c | 2,476$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.74 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Brazil | 55c | 2,396$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.99 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…ad4cbacked Brazil | 29c | 2,391$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.27 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Haiti | 69c | 2,371$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.32 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Brazil | 31c | 2,207$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.17 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brazil | 64c | 2,199$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.76 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Brazil | 31c | 2,189$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.73 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Brazil | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Haiti | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…76babacked Brazil | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Brazil | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Haiti | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Haiti | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Haiti | 68c | 1,984$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.08 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Brazil | 31c | 1,941$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Brazil | 31c | 1,826$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Haiti | 69c | 1,824$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.61 | 294 | 49%144 W · 150 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Brazil | 57c | 1,801$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.67 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Brazil | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brazil | 62c | 1,784$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.36 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Haiti | 68c | 1,761$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.61 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Brazil | 57c | 1,740$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.35 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Brazil | 50c | 1,728$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.48 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…9a60backed Brazil | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…f35ebacked Brazil | 78c | 1,721$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Haiti | 68c | 1,702$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.11 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brazil | 69c | 1,681$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.86 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd582…4561backed Brazil | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…e1b6backed Brazil | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.