Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41574d1bac8d3e43c82abec17963d6264bfcdb9d5beffc353d8fa769afa82ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henri Squireof Henri Squire, Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Henri Squire | 64c | 5,529$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Henri Squire | 57c | 4,381$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 2,887$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 24c | 1,844$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 1,587$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 743.06$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 43c | 595.06$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.69 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 531.06$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 516.06$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 516.06$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 44c | 422.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 301.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Henri Squire | 60c | 298$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 36c | 295.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 49c | 284.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 27c | 283.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Henri Squire | 50c | 230.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Henri Squire | 62c | 227.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 51c | 226.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 48c | 183.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Henri Squire | 69c | 177.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Henri Squire | 64c | 174.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 42c | 167.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 41c | 163$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 45c | 142.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Henri Squire | 77c | 133.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 22c | 132.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 126.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 45c | 111.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 110.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 32c | 105.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 41c | 99.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Henri Squire | 67c | 99.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Henri Squire | 65c | 94.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 49c | 86.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Henri Squire | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Henri Squire | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Henri Squire | 72c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 48c | 80.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 79.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…5d6dbacked Henri Squire | 51c | 78.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Henri Squire | 62c | 72.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Henri Squire | 77c | 68.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Henri Squire | 63c | 56.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 33c | 51.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Henri Squire | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 32c | 49.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 42c | 47.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 46c | 43.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 47c | 42.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Henri Squire | 51c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 42c | 33.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 42c | 33.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Henri Squire | 52c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 31.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Henri Squire | 64c | 30.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Henri Squire | 58c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Henri Squire | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Henri Squire | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Henri Squire | 49c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Henri Squire | 60c | 21.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Henri Squire | 56c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Henri Squire | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Henri Squire | 66c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.