MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937bca76e94824d59a5d3c5d58c7b8470832005a38b7a45e4b059034119a69c5

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Seattle Marinersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Seattle Mariners
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,789,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,784,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,789,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	614,938$270,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270,423.33	210	40%84 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Seattle Mariners	56c	263,637$147,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116,000.39	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+9.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Seattle Mariners	56c	215,800$120,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,952	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	36c	165,516$58,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,897.87	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners	68c	130,738$88,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,417.23	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	113,304$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	630	52.7%332 W · 298 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Seattle Mariners	56c	100,000$56,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,000	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Seattle Mariners	56c	85,581$47,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,655.6	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	64,575$28,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,409	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Arizona Diamondbacks	17c	50,562$8,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,359.2	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	49,874$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners	74c	41,312$30,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,654.7	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd959…daf7backed Seattle Mariners	77c	35,624$27,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,193.46	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	22,222$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Seattle Mariners	60c	21,667$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,666.67	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	33c	20,133$6,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,633.91	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners	68c	19,678$13,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,200.73	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	17c	19,658$3,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,252.39	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners	56c	17,857$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,857.14	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Mariners	56c	17,500$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,699.92	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	17,022$7,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,319.7	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners	75c	16,656$12,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,147.19	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,749.96	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Seattle Mariners	55c	14,956$8,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,730.03	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners	56c	13,178$7,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,755.66	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	31c	12,946$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Seattle Mariners	74c	12,500$9,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,258.02	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners	57c	12,281$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280.7	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners	55c	12,196$6,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,440.36	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	25c	12,106$2,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,968.9	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners	56c	11,562$6,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,070.93	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners	56c	9,575$5,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,191.21	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners	70c	9,138$6,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,736.73	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners	56c	8,557$4,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,765.16	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks	20c	8,065$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.74	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners	55c	7,777$4,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,499.65	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners	68c	7,682$5,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,444.12	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks	38c	7,622$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,885.12	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners	58c	7,000$4,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,939.98	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners	66c	6,025$3,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.98	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fa…455cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	6,006$2,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.57	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	5,556$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	27c	5,240$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.2	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks	24c	5,196$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.78	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.98	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Arizona Diamondbacks	19c	4,999$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.37	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners	57c	4,462$2,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,916.76	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners	65c	4,433$2,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,563.08	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners	56c	4,396$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,934.24	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9f…26e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Seattle Mariners	56c	4,000$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	3,921$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.35	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks	23c	3,913$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Seattle Mariners	57c	3,523$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.31	64	67.2%43 W · 21 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners	77c	3,485$2,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks	38c	3,434$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.51	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	3,347$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.67	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	3,315$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.81	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Seattle Mariners	56c	3,214$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.29	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners	56c	3,214$1,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.5	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4012…4d3fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	2,853$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.88	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Seattle Mariners	71c	2,797$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.2	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	37c	2,531$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.94	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks	2c	2,375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	108	5.6%6 W · 102 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+339.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks	21c	2,329$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.7	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners	42c	2,231$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.48	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners	56c	2,200$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.13	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	2,045$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners	57c	2,016$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.41	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners	65c	1,956$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.59	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners	56c	1,820$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.8	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners	75c	1,815$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.24	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	19c	1,812$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.15	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Seattle Mariners	55c	1,651$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.18	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners	56c	1,500$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Seattle Mariners	80c	1,384$1,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.8	173	54.9%95 W · 78 L	-14.0wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners	55c	1,338$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.07	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	1,305$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.25	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Seattle Mariners	57c	1,258$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.05	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners	55c	1,182$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.81	192	46.9%90 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks	22c	1,114$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	302	42.4%128 W · 174 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	15c	1,100$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Arizona Diamondbacks	15c	1,100$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf518…07bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	1,092$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.83	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-7.4wins	-0.23per pick	42cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	1,086$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.04	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	1,060$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.03	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	17c	1,042$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.14	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Arizona Diamondbacks	48c	1,031$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks	27c	1,018$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.73	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	49c	1,016$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.61	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Arizona Diamondbacks	32c	1,002$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.36	94	48.9%46 W · 48 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners	57c	1,001$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.9	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Seattle Mariners	56c	999.99$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	14c	999.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks	6c	987.11$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.36	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Arizona Diamondbacks	20c	911.11$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	157	49.7%78 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 13.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event