MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f0d8d2b9471719d468e4624902623dc1e0b00eef756c2d80c9e3d76b92f1c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 27,967$13,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,185.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 19,616$9,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,688.87 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 14,972$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,558.1 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…4830backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,679$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 14,436$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,322.83 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 13,699$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 12,453$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.9 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 8,242$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 8,000$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.19 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 7,818$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 7,484$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.24 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,816$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 5,659$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.99 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 5,407$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.69 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 4,808$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.62 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 4,424$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.89 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 4,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,558$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,062$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.41 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.16 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,901$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,516$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,354$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…344fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,161$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 2,098$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,006$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.69 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,874$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,790$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 1,744$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,681$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.81 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,600$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,524$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.13 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,519$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.59 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,515$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,327$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,175$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,124$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,097$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d111backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 961.76$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 886.25$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 872.75$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 848.52$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.57 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 821$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 790$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 769.08$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 715.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 675.31$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 660.1$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 644.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 610$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…1d3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 599.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 558.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 509.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 484.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 476.28$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 475.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 467$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 458.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 443.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 398.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 367.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 363$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 325.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 306.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 303.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 301.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 297.22$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 296.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 296.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 283.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 280.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 264.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 260$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 242.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 236.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.