Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843650abfb472a2103cfe9a6e600e65ad4045dca3a547eb96f8620574e00a07b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Yes | 79c | 15,199$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 11,247$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 80c | 10,060$8,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.85 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 6,613$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 6,305$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 22c | 3,926$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.88 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 3,214$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,819$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.93 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 20c | 1,427$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…eadebacked Yes | 79c | 1,400$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 20c | 1,397$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 1,335$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Yes | 79c | 1,262$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 1,221$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 10c | 1,162$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 79c | 1,089$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 3c | 974.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 79c | 937.04$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 80c | 919.5$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 21c | 875.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 24c | 844.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 24c | 774.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 595$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 76c | 552.63$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 20c | 519.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 79c | 485.07$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 389.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 8c | 282.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Yes | 75c | 282.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 253.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 20c | 232.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 21c | 175.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7021…4be6backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 26c | 98.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…47d8backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 20c | 59.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…1cf6backed Yes | 79c | 56.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 23c | 55.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 51.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…65e6backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 25c | 41.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 74c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 75c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…7ee3backed Yes | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.