Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9421adeffbd81d20bb504ea2b74f979c187af6fe1b78a6033e3e3fe471e109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Matteo Arnaldi, Raphael Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,252,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,397,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d6a…c2b5backed Raphael Collignon | 68c | 84,856$57,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,860.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 80,067$53,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,295.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Collignon | 47c | 34,968$16,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,605.16 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…be6dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 30,477$14,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,780.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Raphael Collignon | 65c | 29,965$19,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,338.57 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 29,704$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,604.65 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raphael Collignon | 60c | 29,148$17,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,627.76 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 27,500$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,150 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 26,096$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,980.26 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 22,668$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,418.33 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 14,926$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,851.01 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 13,197$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,428.39 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 12,470$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.24 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Raphael Collignon | 59c | 12,453$7,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,330.52 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Collignon | 45c | 10,390$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.32 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 9,420$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.45 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 9,375$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.87 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Raphael Collignon | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Raphael Collignon | 0c | 8,420$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 8,365$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.9 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 7,200$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.68 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…fbdebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 7,142$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.82 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 6,841$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.49 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 6,553$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.45 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Raphael Collignon | 53c | 6,493$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.42 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 6,322$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.53 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 6,225$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.54 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 6,126$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.45 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 6,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…a3d4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 5,416$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 5,056$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.28 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 4,800$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,600$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Collignon | 52c | 4,506$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.79 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Raphael Collignon | 42c | 4,359$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.09 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 4,325$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.17 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 4,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.98 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 3,888$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.43 | 333 | 42.6%142 W · 191 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 3,645$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.35 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 3,638$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.07 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 3,600$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 3,572$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.89 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 3,027$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.9 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Raphael Collignon | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Raphael Collignon | 50c | 2,960$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…3176backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 2,693$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 2,656$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.09 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Raphael Collignon | 44c | 2,577$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Raphael Collignon | 57c | 2,563$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.17 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 2,520$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.65 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Raphael Collignon | 68c | 2,482$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.67 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Raphael Collignon | 79c | 2,477$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.5 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7e10backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 2,476$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.39 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 2,410$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raphael Collignon | 36c | 2,364$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.64 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 2,236$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.41 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Raphael Collignon | 27c | 2,219$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.43 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 2,192$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.64 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Raphael Collignon | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 2,125$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Collignon | 46c | 2,090$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.41 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,999$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.03 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,960$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 1,825$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.11 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,825$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 254 | 64.6%164 W · 90 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Raphael Collignon | 59c | 1,790$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.95 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Raphael Collignon | 53c | 1,784$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,762$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 1,745$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.16 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,743$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.45 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,731$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.09 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,727$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.45 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Raphael Collignon | 59c | 1,725$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.63 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 1,685$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.54 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Raphael Collignon | 64c | 1,651$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.95 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Raphael Collignon | 4c | 1,636$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,622$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.22 | 419 | 41.1%172 W · 247 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raphael Collignon | 64c | 1,617$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.64 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,566$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.04 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Raphael Collignon | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,491$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.54 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 1,486$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.09 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Raphael Collignon | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 931 | 68.1%634 W · 297 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 436 | 43.8%191 W · 245 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 478 | 42.5%203 W · 275 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 54c | 1,416$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.95 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 1,400$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.42 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Matteo Arnaldi | 57c | 1,398$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.06 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonthis page
- Arnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Arnaldi vs. Collignon: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs CollignonArnaldi won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
- Set Handicap: Collignon (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.