Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9607e72bf22938184680e0ba7a3f1b0c588cb43c7955bc80f019693b84c10e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,801,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,158,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,801,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 67c | 1,350,000$904,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 33c | 371,198$121,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,511.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 33c | 298,001$98,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,340.3 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 33c | 220,000$72,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,600 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 67c | 174,463$117,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,707.68 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 33c | 104,229$34,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,495.42 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 33c | 90,000$29,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,700 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 82,096$26,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,798.52 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 33c | 80,500$26,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,571.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 33c | 75,756$24,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,949.43 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 66,397$21,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,911 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 33c | 63,474$20,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,946.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 67c | 58,019$38,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,146.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 67c | 54,000$36,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,819.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 33c | 52,200$17,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,226 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 33c | 51,049$16,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,625.79 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 33c | 46,266$15,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,267.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 33c | 44,800$14,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,784 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 42,000$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,860 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 30,104$9,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933.22 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 30c | 23,271$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,026.84 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 33c | 20,860$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 16,492$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 67c | 14,700$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 33c | 14,499$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 33c | 14,250$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…d576backed Yes | 69c | 14,178$9,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 33c | 13,685$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 33c | 13,398$4,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Yes | 67c | 12,627$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 33c | 11,284$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 34c | 11,179$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 11,009$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.73 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 67c | 10,444$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.52 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 33c | 10,430$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 32c | 10,288$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.88 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 9,374$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 33c | 9,189$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.37 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Yes | 68c | 9,118$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 5c | 8,333$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 67c | 7,777$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.41 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 7,487$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.41 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 68c | 7,130$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.5 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 6,787$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.82 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 33c | 6,500$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.98 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 33c | 6,414$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.53 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 67c | 6,350$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked No | 33c | 6,240$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 67c | 5,821$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.9 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 73c | 5,451$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 67c | 5,202$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.93 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Yes | 68c | 5,150$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.97 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 68c | 4,981$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.88 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,736$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.03 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 68c | 4,410$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 33c | 4,387$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,380$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 15c | 3,375$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.33 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 3,258$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.58 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,210$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 3,118$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.56 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,532$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…abcfbacked No | 33c | 2,420$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…21b8backed Yes | 66c | 2,400$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 67c | 2,167$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.16 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked No | 31c | 2,152$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.03 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 2,150$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.46 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 16c | 2,001$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…607fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,905$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 34c | 1,806$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed No | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 13c | 1,749$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 33c | 1,680$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 31c | 1,668$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 67c | 1,650$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 33c | 1,579$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.