Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf4f5fadfdc51275873572c9fdd831eb8a1b8cacb15a7c6a4d75e46719f3111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba5…8e17backed No | 80c | 9,557$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 6,600$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 20c | 6,312$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…731bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,921$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 78c | 4,293$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.58 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 4,184$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.6 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Yes | 0c | 3,288$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 2,623$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.4 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 2,545$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,366$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,800$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,751$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 1,592$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 21c | 1,535$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 919.89$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 79c | 910.6$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 79c | 840.28$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 79c | 606.37$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 470.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 13c | 432.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 412.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 3c | 377.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…57a4backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…2bd6backed Yes | 6c | 313.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 22c | 308.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed Yes | 21c | 307.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 79c | 272.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 11c | 271.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 262.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…6576backed Yes | 13c | 237.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 7c | 210$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Yes | 21c | 207.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 21c | 202.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 199.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 21c | 197.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 20c | 169.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 160.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked Yes | 22c | 152.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 21c | 150.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Yes | 22c | 149.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 146.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…5dc8backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 141.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 8c | 131.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 128.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…b58abacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…a8b9backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 20c | 112.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 19c | 106.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 19c | 101.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 80c | 100.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…d902backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…8f69backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…f6b3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…23fbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 21c | 85.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 76.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…0688backed Yes | 21c | 75.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…d15bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…afcdbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…3720backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 21c | 66.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Yes | 21c | 55.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 21c | 54.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 20c | 53.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 80c | 31.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…59afbacked No | 80c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 79c | 24.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…7a15backed No | 80c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.