TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c38,511$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.6819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes1c8,483$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes4c6,472$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes2c6,204$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.35831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c6,139$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.7767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes4c5,510$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc615…3d19backed Yes0c4,371$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes4c4,246$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes12c4,036$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.382,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…97b0backed Yes13c3,800$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+142.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes1c3,465$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-43.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c3,250$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes3c3,110$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.993650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c2,395$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.76,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49eb…f2f5backed Yes0c2,333$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes2c2,227$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes12c2,133$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c2,123$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.471305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes11c1,872$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.927427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes12c1,744$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Yes11c1,702$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.183327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes3c1,647$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.893240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes12c1,386$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4322534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Yes13c1,130$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes4c1,015$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes1c970$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes13c944.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.182650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc125…04ffbacked Yes3c909.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.113132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…cc07backed Yes12c886.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf7…f9b6backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Yes13c758.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-65.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes4c710$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes13c655.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes3c588.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes11c549.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes7c536.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3114658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Yes5c533.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes3c518.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.961540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes13c518$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.348643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes12c510$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd76c…94edbacked Yes3c471.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes11c430.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.321254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8524…d61ebacked Yes3c426.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e23…597fbacked Yes7c403.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…21b3backed Yes13c391.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f4…6a05backed Yes13c384.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes11c383.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2215952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes13c346.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454475%33 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes11c341.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4047…b217backed Yes5c340$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc594…7738backed Yes12c322.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.692425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes11c315.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.67650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…9720backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402020%4 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes13c306.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.872733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes13c305.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.692536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Yes13c303.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.394369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c301.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…537cbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes11c299.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.962626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc497…64d6backed Yes12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes12c277.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ead…b53dbacked Yes13c264.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82bd…c137backed Yes11c255.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af2…f92fbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481a…8a59backed Yes6c241.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf05…82edbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2028…8ecdbacked Yes6c217.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes13c215.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…f16fbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2059…6952backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes13c180.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.443540%14 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes12c174.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9311858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9310049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x619d…9ccfbacked Yes11c170.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a7…b778backed Yes13c169.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209757.7%56 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Yes12c160.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes12c156.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.744447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes11c155.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-84.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.