TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2059…6952

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+210.8%+$402.66
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116%+$741.11
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$66.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$334
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$196.37
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.82
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.9
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$98.76
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244%+$397.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.08
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$214.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$229.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$320
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.48
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.9
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$565.47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$524.72
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$115.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.81
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$554.21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.9%+$597.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.53
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.63
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.8%+$516.34
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.1%+$71
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$158.7
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.23
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$61.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$175
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.