Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6e5dd1b6825817163eda55e853e824b232a1b1fb9850d2f4d1dcfd6aeafbcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,481,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,605,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 910 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 54c | 111,986$60,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,781.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 48c | 105,750$50,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,990.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 1c | 99,486$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.38 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 55c | 91,422$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 79,140$46,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,533.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 47c | 71,000$33,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,630 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,400 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 46c | 63,165$28,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,213.54 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 58,151$27,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,033.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 47c | 36,910$17,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,562.18 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 29c | 36,004$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.69 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 52c | 33,683$17,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,515.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 48c | 33,516$16,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,428.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 46c | 31,571$14,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,163.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 30,785$14,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,523.9 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 30,305$17,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,696.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 46c | 27,300$12,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,821.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 26,284$14,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,078.52 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 53c | 23,030$12,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,215.35 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 52c | 21,943$11,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,410.39 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 21,891$10,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,602.21 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 54c | 21,367$11,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,538.27 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 0c | 19,984$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Yes | 53c | 19,635$10,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,316.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 52c | 18,240$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,484.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 47c | 18,228$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 15,875$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,523.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 46c | 15,514$7,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.38 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 15,229$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.89 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed No | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 48c | 9,396$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.83 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 46c | 8,747$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.37 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 51c | 7,778$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 7,547$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.15 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 48c | 6,904$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 46c | 6,594$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.76 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 46c | 6,086$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 46c | 4,600$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Yes | 52c | 4,331$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 33c | 4,175$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.96 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…abd4backed Yes | 53c | 3,768$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked No | 47c | 3,629$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 47c | 3,622$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.47 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 1c | 3,376$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 3,131$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.6 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 47c | 2,979$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,859$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 2,739$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.98 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 23c | 2,413$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 47c | 2,389$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.38 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 2,366$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.2 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 53c | 2,357$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 47c | 2,205$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 47c | 2,200$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 2,060$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.23 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 54c | 2,055$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.93 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 47c | 2,020$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.4 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 46c | 1,900$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.39 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 47c | 1,895$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 6c | 1,819$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…5677backed Yes | 54c | 1,770$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 1,556$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.77 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 1,529$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.43 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,492$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.39 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 47c | 1,489$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 46c | 1,466$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.