Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4717bcfd9bcefb3a3a2d67603de458a12c70055b749a507eb86a6de205da03e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $573,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 43,740$20,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,790.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 26,588$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,988.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 26,333$11,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,965.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 3c | 22,593$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.28 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 22,046$10,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,352.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 18,718$10,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,669.33 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 16,427$7,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,082.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 57c | 16,379$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.83 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 16,249$9,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,268.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 14,007$7,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,991.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 8c | 13,614$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.3 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 9,246$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 57c | 9,157$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.49 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 43c | 9,001$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.45 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 15c | 7,210$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.85 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 7,077$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 79c | 6,930$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.75 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 67c | 6,845$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.77 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 57c | 6,025$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.24 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 5,809$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.51 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 79c | 5,065$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…9e24backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 4,471$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 4,421$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.46 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 53c | 4,384$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.06 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.34 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.44 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 6c | 3,754$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.81 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 77c | 3,675$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.64 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 3,243$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.51 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 43c | 3,138$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.09 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 43c | 3,109$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.47 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 3,078$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 57c | 2,833$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.61 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Yes | 70c | 2,702$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.77 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 2,681$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,480$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.16 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…cd20backed Yes | 20c | 2,458$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 17c | 2,437$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.14 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed No | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +622.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed Yes | 20c | 2,288$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 42c | 2,233$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.07 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 2,196$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.95 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 37c | 2,069$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.4 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.69 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…9a49backed Yes | 34c | 1,976$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 43c | 1,791$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.15 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 57c | 1,668$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.78 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked No | 20c | 1,600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +389%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 62c | 1,593$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.66 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 1,540$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.95 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…dc76backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…1cd3backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.58per pick | 22cpaid | +259.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 40c | 1,403$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.02 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Yes | 23c | 1,397$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 21c | 1,328$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…c71fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,256$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 1,251$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.65 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 50c | 1,247$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 1,222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed No | 21c | 1,143$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +10.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…4114backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…5124backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…6c31backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 949.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 43c | 889.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.87 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 49c | 879.55$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.19 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 56c | 850$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 24c | 848.28$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.28 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…284fbacked Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 43c | 730.23$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 44c | 728.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 724.41$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +16.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 674.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.93 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 34c | 673.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.02 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 7c | 670$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 641.28$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 58c | 628.31$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.42 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 13c | 588$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 15c | 584.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 45c | 579.66$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 21c | 575.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- Norway leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.