Fifa International · resolved market
Norway leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb783a7aaf31cb387a6d393bbdfd00cff1c7b6aeebb960931bfe0cb7483ed804a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 52,978$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 42,413$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,886.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 42,219$9,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.87 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 39,814$31,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.46 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 33,291$20,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,281.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 24,659$10,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,032.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 14,160$11,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Yes | 22c | 12,864$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.14 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 11,120$8,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.66 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 7,570$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 77c | 7,121$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.3 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 80c | 6,109$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.4 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 24c | 6,097$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.74 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 80c | 6,093$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.6 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 78c | 5,402$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 5,070$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.3 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…e195backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 3,355$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.54 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 3,247$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 57c | 3,202$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.12 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 36c | 3,156$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.48 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 22c | 2,944$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.72 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb359…9b26backed Yes | 14c | 2,846$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 2,785$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 24c | 2,743$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.87 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 2,691$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 2,672$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.77 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Yes | 21c | 2,388$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 2,053$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.98 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 17c | 2,019$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.04 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…2193backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 23c | 1,905$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 1,904$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 53c | 1,818$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.18 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 62c | 1,779$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.59 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 1,684$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.56 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed Yes | 22c | 1,683$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 1,681$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…e4bebacked Yes | 21c | 1,632$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 15c | 1,623$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.23 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,523$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 1,424$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 79c | 1,207$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 8c | 1,135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.8 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 78c | 1,104$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 79c | 1,058$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 71c | 946.59$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 21c | 905$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1247backed Yes | 2c | 833.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 802.96$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 78c | 798.75$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 5c | 751.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…b947backed Yes | 70c | 725$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 11c | 721.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 60c | 702.35$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 66c | 640$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 609.36$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…b752backed Yes | 21c | 588.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 50c | 582.67$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 79c | 582$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 21c | 528.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a5…d8ffbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 79c | 499.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 78c | 492.85$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 3c | 483$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…0b56backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Yes | 21c | 475.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Yes | 72c | 472.86$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 54c | 470.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 455.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…550cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…4614backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 22c | 436.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 11c | 433.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 422.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…a949backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 45c | 411.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 79c | 381.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 78c | 380$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed Yes | 21c | 370.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Yes | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 13c | 349.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway leading at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.