MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81f6a8cea2b3879ba981efa01e1badab0b43f074ea0abb58eeda897493b19e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 63,547$32,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,854.37 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 39,747$19,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,475.17 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 29,694$14,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,583.42 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 27,103$12,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,177.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 13,695$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 11,726$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 11,327$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 9,908$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 9,600$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.95 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 51c | 4,384$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.82 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 4,336$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.98 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 4,310$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.73 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 4,138$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.52 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 52c | 3,811$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 3,633$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.11 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 3,365$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,435$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,283$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 1,256$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.08 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,255$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 1,170$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 52c | 1,082$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 955.32$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.77 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 53c | 943.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 53c | 942.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 907.43$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 53c | 583.72$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.46 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 52c | 546.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 391$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 390.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 375.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 298.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…df46backed Over | 38c | 276.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Under | 49c | 272$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 52c | 177$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 14c | 170.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 157.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Over | 52c | 152.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 47c | 139.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 36c | 137.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 52c | 137$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Over | 10c | 114.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 41c | 114$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 110.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 89.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Over | 52c | 89.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 68c | 80.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…70eabacked Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Over | 17c | 67.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 52c | 67.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Over | 20c | 66.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…1a1cbacked Under | 49c | 63.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over | 52c | 60.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 20c | 60.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 59.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 52c | 54.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…2491backed Over | 53c | 44.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea94…0b53backed Over | 53c | 42.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 48c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 52c | 31.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…f6b5backed Over | 53c | 29.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.