Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a22eb81a3911c9ae174119178183813363999fff0bef7d44d58467192c6a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 31,349$19,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 36c | 28,555$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,180.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 11,939$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.81 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 41c | 11,769$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.53 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 31c | 9,277$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Yes | 38c | 8,120$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 7,466$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.99 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 72c | 7,184$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 29c | 6,742$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 67c | 6,291$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 39c | 5,600$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 69c | 5,500$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 4,451$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.33 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 68c | 3,731$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 72c | 3,500$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 3,225$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.41 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 2,771$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.75 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 71c | 2,680$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.23 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 2,467$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.66 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 1,862$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.56 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 67c | 1,581$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.37 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,553$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 1,553$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.1 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 1,547$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.27 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 1,387$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 4c | 1,334$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 64c | 1,275$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 65c | 1,258$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 59c | 1,254$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 41c | 1,197$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 1,173$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.48 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 1,121$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed No | 67c | 1,105$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 1,065$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 37c | 1,031$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,199 | 47.5%569 W · 630 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 72c | 999.91$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 951.58$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 62c | 942.23$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 30c | 920$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 33c | 872.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 28c | 837.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 74c | 798.16$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Yes | 33c | 734.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yes | 76c | 724.9$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 30c | 692.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 40c | 676.29$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.41 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked Yes | 39c | 658.18$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 641.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes | 38c | 626.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 67c | 616.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 605.54$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 605.23$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 35c | 602.76$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 36c | 601$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 582.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 50c | 582.34$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 60c | 550$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 75c | 537.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 64c | 536.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,319 | 50.8%670 W · 649 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 72c | 491.14$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked No | 61c | 438.08$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 429.27$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254d…4375backed Yes | 34c | 418.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Yes | 38c | 407.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 405.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 65c | 399.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 36c | 399.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 389.32$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 383 | 47.8%183 W · 200 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked No | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 70c | 380.63$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 351.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 71c | 349.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…d969backed Yes | 21c | 331.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 329.76$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 35c | 320.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 319.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 312.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Yes | 31c | 309.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 16c | 304.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…5cadbacked Yes | 38c | 304.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 59c | 303.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 296.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…3ddcbacked Yes | 35c | 288.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 28c | 287.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 37c | 283.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 14c | 279.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 64c | 278.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.