TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb31e…c120backed No73c9,594$7,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,007.791478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c8,854$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.23231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c6,394$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,846.7784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c2,323$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.6976941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.994261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes28c1,964$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.922626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No74c1,761$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.34141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes62c1,451$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes27c1,443$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.324228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c1,061$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.323234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes23c885.2$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.4116543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes27c860.53$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9318444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c808.06$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c605.25$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8320050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…56d1backed Yes26c529.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes20c476$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.86119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Yes26c464.52$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.422040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes25c451.97$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.983655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c439.47$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0612868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes26c393.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.021414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes25c374.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes26c330.78$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7811536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed No17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes71c275.92$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No77c263.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…d969backed Yes19c250.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c9…6410backed Yes25c241.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes20c238$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.41729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes27c234.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.26855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No6c220.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.164358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No59c213.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.575621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c194.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9913666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes27c193.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.851338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c191.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.731849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c177.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No17c176.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3716013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c166.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c165.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.031,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Yes42c160.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes21c155.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c155.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.938047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcffe…55a6backed Yes26c147.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed No71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No42c136$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1215562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No71c132.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c120$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.615949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes48c113.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No74c112.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c108.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.392,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No69c104.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0945135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No24c102.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c101.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.878331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes19c101.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.032030%6 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a89…2b18backed Yes61c99.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.324753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes22c95.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.355034%17 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c95.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.162114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Yes28c94.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes25c93.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.368254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes58c92.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.573060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No41c89.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.053847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No80c86.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4112633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc389…d228backed No28c85.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…e95fbacked Yes55c84.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No67c83.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.822986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x80d8…7ae0backed No62c83.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.895056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed No35c82.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.843953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…47e7backed Yes63c77.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c76.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4627644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c71.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0620048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes59c71.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.332580%20 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No79c69.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211070%7 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+96.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes20c67.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes23c65.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No75c61.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Yes28c59.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.582060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No24c57.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.746333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c55.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5179532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes25c50.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes26c48.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.028261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No72c40.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe570…b4fabacked Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Yes29c38.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c36.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes29c35.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.998853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No42c34.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No75c32.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.633964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No74c29.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.855257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bce…c696backed No67c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed No75c26.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.