TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed No62c41,109$25,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,473.452161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab54…2029backed Yes45c21,456$9,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,655.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No55c17,100$9,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes4c14,021$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.095621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes47c9,999$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No53c9,767$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes36c8,223$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.219954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c6,281$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.262,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045f…763cbacked Yes79c4,977$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c4,458$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.7984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes32c4,421$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.581428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c4,027$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.713,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c3,585$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.86119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c3,165$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.614552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d0…412ebacked Yes29c2,853$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ce…a0aebacked Yes33c2,502$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes44c2,166$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.889852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0a…898cbacked Yes50c2,153$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c2,104$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes48c2,003$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No51c1,996$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.794261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210c…d6c1backed Yes47c1,993$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes47c1,974$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.586944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c1,782$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.8876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes45c1,602$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6158045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes32c1,499$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No60c1,456$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.484254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Yes38c1,407$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No54c1,399$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.894141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No55c1,396$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.214369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes41c1,211$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes38c1,069$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.973234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No53c1,043$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.885433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes43c1,031$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5214654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No66c1,031$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.213060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes45c1,023$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.253154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.766647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.99540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No54c996.93$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No52c994.35$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.142860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes37c977.14$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.545740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c976.33$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.486136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No56c973.6$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.382951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes34c838.37$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c820.19$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes18c808.18$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.462458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No23c796.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.4111674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c782.57$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.944259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c751.22$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes40c739.36$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2963562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397d…32a2backed No54c719.58$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes44c674.9$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.055552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…0d61backed Yes46c660$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd1…96a7backed Yes46c653$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c646.95$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.595947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Yes16c633.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.332040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…d969backed Yes15c627.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes36c593.09$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes25c582.47$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.342948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8ef…e9fabacked No54c573.72$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes37c567.86$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Yes36c559.77$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Yes18c544.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes9c535.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…56d1backed Yes45c532.92$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes6c513.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6913666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Yes43c510$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes79c509.32$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes37c501.36$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.814264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes43c501.11$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.439431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15512345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes37c499.97$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.993847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes50c488.77$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.441850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes48c484.4$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5112336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c455.77$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6812868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No73c444.37$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes49c431.28$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.331323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid+95.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c3…29f6backed Yes48c428.21$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No21c425.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.823839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes37c422.44$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8718444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.521338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes48c416.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1537926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes41c413.83$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e5…be66backed No53c413.02$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.762846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes36c400.67$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.244757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe699…644bbacked Yes36c389.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c388.57$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3220048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1dc…c583backed No53c369.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.