TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees52c28,845$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.5923255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees13c20,804$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox68c20,413$13,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,471.722,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox48c18,239$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,484.2892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked New York Yankees14c16,173$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees52c14,956$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox47c14,679$6,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,716.315,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox49c11,197$5,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.3650153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed New York Yankees53c10,319$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5008166.7%54 W · 27 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees54c8,162$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.384,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed New York Yankees51c5,797$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.4233554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox76c5,258$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.841,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees20c5,105$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees20c5,036$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed New York Yankees7c4,705$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.261250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed New York Yankees12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Yankees12c3,417$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.810913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox47c3,330$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.8955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed New York Yankees17c3,215$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.938515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Boston Red Sox48c3,017$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.0666050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9675248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees52c2,870$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.4948147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees13c2,617$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.462,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees52c2,600$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.631,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox48c2,566$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.543,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees21c2,220$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2385645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox48c2,048$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox49c1,713$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.631,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees30c1,687$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.181,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed New York Yankees12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb750…fbe1backed New York Yankees28c1,631$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees24c1,617$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.618,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…ba51backed New York Yankees52c1,595$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Boston Red Sox56c1,527$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.2528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox48c1,507$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5751547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox66c1,365$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.761,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees53c1,177$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.732,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1c…13f4backed New York Yankees29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560e…3cc9backed New York Yankees52c962.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees14c955.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.61,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked New York Yankees11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox73c907.19$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.365,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox49c901$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.5169453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked New York Yankees14c872.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.636759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New York Yankees20c784.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3328952.6%152 W · 137 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.081,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees19c722.87$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.391,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed New York Yankees14c720.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Boston Red Sox58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.666456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Boston Red Sox47c680$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.81,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed New York Yankees39c655.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25621146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox48c650$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33817853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked New York Yankees21c649.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Boston Red Sox47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.321354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed New York Yankees3c636.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees22c627.03$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6918855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox50c623.63$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.124,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked New York Yankees16c622.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked New York Yankees26c584.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15423052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086d…8f95backed New York Yankees53c582.64$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Boston Red Sox49c561.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.227356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees52c546.04$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.312,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Boston Red Sox48c533.58$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6751545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees40c530$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.934045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Boston Red Sox48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8332742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked New York Yankees22c520.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8640146.1%185 W · 216 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed New York Yankees37c503.66$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.354445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees26c489.37$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9379147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Boston Red Sox47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.781,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee2e…8aeabacked New York Yankees45c425.82$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed New York Yankees14c414.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Boston Red Sox58c412.07$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.888961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Yankees52c401.98$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0384049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees33c393.89$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.682,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked New York Yankees51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007745.5%35 W · 42 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees51c389.2$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4955653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Yankees16c370.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3425950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Yankees54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Boston Red Sox60c364.75$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4779255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Boston Red Sox47c360$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.61,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees24c348.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.185,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed New York Yankees26c340.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Yankees39c332.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b0…c7edbacked New York Yankees53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…fdc0backed New York Yankees19c329.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.829241.4%121 W · 171 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Yankees8c322.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6437032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed New York Yankees52c313.04$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.789652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox48c307.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.021,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed New York Yankees53c306.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4226444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees26c305.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.751,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15541152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Boston Red Sox47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.51,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.