TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c4,687$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.9111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c4,486$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.3910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c3,831$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.384,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c3,789$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.264,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over51c3,610$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8231060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c3,457$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.5812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c3,340$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.28,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under52c2,692$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.311877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c2,200$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6211952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under54c1,824$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.2120648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c1,820$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.3355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under55c1,701$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.251,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Over47c1,607$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.421,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under52c1,075$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.8724551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over45c1,010$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3736246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Under49c1,007$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.62560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3236048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c878.08$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.261,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over49c818.37$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40115447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over47c796.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.553,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35027249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c688.02$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.2510545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c569.79$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.848,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over48c552.08$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under57c440.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4413461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under53c422.15$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c409.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.745,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over46c372.02$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.041,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19526860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over48c250.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.092,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c47…e1cbbacked Over47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.52867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over49c243.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.312,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c240.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.395,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under53c222.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.63046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under50c201.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.238353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8238252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8237256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c174.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over47c163$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6112143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over47c151.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over48c145.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c125.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.256,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under54c119.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8226063.8%166 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over46c110.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0627454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under58c104$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.84,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c103.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.852,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.625,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c96.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over48c83.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0543459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015862.7%99 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.342,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0417462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under56c65.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0974657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Under52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3825452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over47c64.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under49c63.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.322,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over50c60.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.461,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…d3f2backed Over51c59.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under48c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c56.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.387243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6721…8a9ebacked Under49c52.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c49.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.052,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under48c47.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9144745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Over48c47.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1522151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under55c46.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.866053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c42.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.313,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9523435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over50c41.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7352852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413025.4%33 W · 97 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Over46c39.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3819756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over54c38.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6146952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0426940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0423455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under50c35.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8717250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over55c34.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc20…dc0bbacked Over51c32.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over32c32.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4142047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under65c32.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3825256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc3…d59bbacked Over51c31.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e0…9778backed Over51c31.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Under58c30.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9613263.6%84 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34c…e5bebacked Over51c30.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f1…c7f6backed Over51c30.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f7…d4a3backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa711…a134backed Over51c29.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8349…abaebacked Over51c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Over51c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Over51c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cc…28bdbacked Over51c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…4219backed Over51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.