MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840fd6186bb9e95b873f3e423288d6e5c88ca478e7ecd828b2d23c38f2e809a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 4,687$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 4,486$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 3,831$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,789$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 51c | 3,610$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 3,457$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,340$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 2,200$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.62 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 54c | 1,824$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.21 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 1,820$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.33 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 55c | 1,701$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Over | 47c | 1,607$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.42 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.87 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 45c | 1,010$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.37 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 49c | 1,007$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 878.08$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.26 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 49c | 818.37$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 796.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 688.02$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.25 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 569.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 48c | 552.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 440.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 409.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 46c | 372.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 250.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…e1cbbacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 49c | 243.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 240.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 53c | 222.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 201.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 174.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 47c | 163$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 151.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 145.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 125.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 54c | 119.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 46c | 110.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 46c | 96.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 48c | 83.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 65.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 47c | 64.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 49c | 63.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 60.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…d3f2backed Over | 51c | 59.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 48c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 56.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…8a9ebacked Under | 49c | 52.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 48c | 47.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 48c | 47.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 46.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 41.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Over | 46c | 39.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 54c | 38.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 50c | 35.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 55c | 34.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…dc0bbacked Over | 51c | 32.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 32c | 32.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 65c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…d59bbacked Over | 51c | 31.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…9778backed Over | 51c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 58c | 30.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…e5bebacked Over | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…c7f6backed Over | 51c | 30.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…d4a3backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…a134backed Over | 51c | 29.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked Over | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…443bbacked Over | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Over | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…28bdbacked Over | 51c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…4219backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.