La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062918e2e53609c5eecbc396b65d714fe72dfff5e4829f5de83a71391e89c358

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,021,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,343,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,021,425 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed No	18c	614,000$110,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,519.95	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+274.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No	0c	283,023$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.12	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+450.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	0c	270,599$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.6	354	42.7%151 W · 203 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No	18c	249,575$46,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,153.5	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	18c	243,967$45,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,132.48	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed No	18c	240,813$44,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,116.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No	18c	227,200$40,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,896.06	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No	19c	212,475$40,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,286.92	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No	18c	212,222$38,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,199.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	18c	170,662$30,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,719.16	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	18c	162,082$29,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,174.8	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No	18c	105,000$18,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,900	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	18c	101,580$18,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,015.8	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	6c	94,093$5,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,625.09	4,729	47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	19c	87,893$17,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,084.74	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	77c	77,464$59,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,693.92	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No	19c	77,232$14,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,722.88	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	18c	63,519$11,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,433.97	2,339	48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	19c	60,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,400	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No	18c	59,800$10,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,764	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No	18c	55,367$10,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,139.65	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No	19c	55,196$10,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,427.21	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No	18c	54,892$9,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,880.48	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	18c	52,201$9,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,396.23	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No	19c	50,074$9,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,514	403	57.1%230 W · 173 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No	19c	50,074$9,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,514	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No	19c	50,000$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No	18c	41,536$7,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,478.24	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No	18c	32,595$5,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,867.1	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No	19c	30,250$5,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,611.08	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No	18c	30,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No	23c	30,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,899.99	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	19c	29,342$5,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,596.45	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No	19c	28,662$5,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,303.03	357	59.4%212 W · 145 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No	20c	27,468$5,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,533.09	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No	18c	26,826$4,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,828.71	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes	77c	25,229$19,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,802.7	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Yes	80c	22,007$17,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.56	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	18c	21,032$3,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,785.71	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	24c	20,498$4,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,906.42	988	33.4%330 W · 658 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	20c	19,743$4,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,043.1	1,169	51.8%606 W · 563 L	+18.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No	18c	19,738$3,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,552.84	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No	19c	19,028$3,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,615.32	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0236…40bdbacked No	0c	18,801$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No	23c	18,000$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,139.99	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No	18c	15,941$2,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.38	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	13c	15,633$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.52	828	44.8%371 W · 457 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	18c	15,035$2,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,653.67	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes	78c	14,912$11,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,280.57	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No	18c	14,384$2,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.12	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No	0c	14,304$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	22c	14,000$3,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,134.94	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes	80c	13,956$11,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,791.1	65	66.2%43 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	23c	13,500$3,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,044.98	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	23c	13,000$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929.97	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	22c	12,867$2,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.3	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	80c	12,749$10,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.82	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No	18c	12,500$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	19c	12,400$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,331.99	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes	80c	12,350$9,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No	20c	11,900$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No	19c	11,684$2,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,219.96	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.32per pick	43cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No	18c	11,316$2,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,036.88	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	9c	11,284$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.76	1,418	45.6%646 W · 772 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No	18c	11,178$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.06	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No	21c	10,295$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.2	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	22c	10,129$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.93	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+5.1wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No	18c	9,810$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No	22c	9,625$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,097.23	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	12c	9,558$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.86	295	45.4%134 W · 161 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No	19c	9,524$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.48	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	20c	9,287$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,857.5	241	47.7%115 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No	19c	9,221$1,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,751.47	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	10c	8,994$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.67	3,444	43%1,482 W · 1,962 L	+31.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No	18c	8,540$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.2	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No	16c	7,901$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No	20c	7,764$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.76	79	22.8%18 W · 61 L	-8.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No	18c	7,680$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.4	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	77c	7,180$5,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.93	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No	19c	7,130$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.97	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	78c	6,932$5,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,524.95	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No	7c	6,547$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.28	601	47.9%288 W · 313 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No	22c	6,315$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.39	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No	21c	6,300$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	10c	6,166$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601	120	50%60 W · 60 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe316…c49fbacked Yes	80c	5,872$4,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.49	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No	18c	5,556$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No	23c	5,512$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.84	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-53%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed No	24c	5,496$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes	78c	5,429$4,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No	20c	4,980$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No	18c	4,674$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.32	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No	22c	4,444$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.68	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No	18c	4,181$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.58	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed No	19c	4,160$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No	20c	4,004$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?this page
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?No won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event