La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d8b2c03e035d60e246627c3f5563dd5db9d0beca5d93f33249bf0cffb4ee67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 7c | 57,137$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.62 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…31d6backed Yes | 0c | 47,003$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…b0e7backed Yes | 0c | 47,003$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 42,574$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 5c | 30,201$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,588$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 6c | 6,979$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.74 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 10c | 5,251$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 8c | 4,157$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Yes | 2c | 4,093$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…a931backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 2,707$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 7c | 2,698$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…badabacked Yes | 7c | 2,380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 3c | 1,621$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…08b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,570$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes | 7c | 1,470$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 1,422$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 6c | 1,392$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…4919backed Yes | 9c | 1,361$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaf…a04bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,284$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,267$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…4b27backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…e110backed Yes | 7c | 1,106$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 8c | 1,065$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 995.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 3c | 952.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 5c | 900.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 8c | 825.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…a903backed Yes | 8c | 803.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Yes | 9c | 787.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 8c | 693.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Yes | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 8c | 532.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 8c | 519.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed Yes | 7c | 445.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 8c | 413.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…688fbacked Yes | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…948fbacked Yes | 8c | 404.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 7c | 392.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 8c | 389.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 8c | 378$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 8c | 344.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 4c | 339.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 8c | 330.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes | 7c | 323.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…0d21backed Yes | 7c | 317.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…c439backed Yes | 7c | 316.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 8c | 295.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9943backed Yes | 8c | 295.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 8c | 293.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 283.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 8c | 261.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 9c | 259.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 259.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…00b3backed Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b53dbacked Yes | 9c | 218.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…d9dabacked Yes | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 7c | 202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 10c | 194.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 7c | 180.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9d…bf8dbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 10c | 141.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…2c6abacked Yes | 8c | 129.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…f6fcbacked Yes | 8c | 129.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…ce88backed Yes | 9c | 126.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked Yes | 9c | 118.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…3b52backed Yes | 10c | 102.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.