TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa902…d159backed Yes60c10,205$6,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0794744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes56c3,294$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.7334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c2,941$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes69c2,863$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.827058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c2,513$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c2,387$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.285843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c2,124$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.1323949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c1,729$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed No50c1,365$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.091442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c1,307$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No40c1,144$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.449829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes54c1,033$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55522652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…03d8backed Yes69c795.52$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes53c568.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004420.5%9 W · 35 L-8.8wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c537$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.982,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No49c428.16$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5613151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Yes65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No45c310$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.513351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261c…6b12backed Yes33c299.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c255.87$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.43,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3835150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked No50c201$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10113548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Yes51c199.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.965547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bb…9302backed Yes53c188.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes35c180.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.311,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No47c172.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes52c153.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c144.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.811,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes41c143.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8912964.3%83 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed No47c129.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.834727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes53c123.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No47c120.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No51c117.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.997945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c83.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Yes52c76.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Yes55c75.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.255743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c75.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…d188backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes52c67.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292c…7756backed Yes53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c59.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes45c57.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes69c53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No49c48.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.875648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed No48c46.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0711046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c46.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed No49c42.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.719153.8%49 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Yes52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes57c40.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7218764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…2c71backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52dd…6f82backed No45c37.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.782568%17 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x589f…93a1backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked No38c37.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9370948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Yes61c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.497350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes51c36.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6923552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a5…3925backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c30.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…2a51backed Yes49c30.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes53c30.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.292441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No49c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48751.7%45 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6337458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No49c28.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.746952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed No42c28.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.727163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519859.6%118 W · 80 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…cfa9backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Yes52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa636…dfe9backed Yes52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes57c26.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7239746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed No49c23.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes53c23.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Yes51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125275%39 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked No49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.736555.4%36 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Yes51c22.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.437350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Yes53c22.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.984835.4%17 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4709backed No50c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85922%13 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109359.1%55 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.