TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb619…5068backed Over45c5,077$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.5824144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c4,516$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.6259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c3,339$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over46c2,856$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.7845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under45c2,847$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.933850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over56c1,862$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.0174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under39c1,682$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under55c1,612$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.3561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over45c1,515$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.430431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c1,109$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c876.76$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.361,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4561968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34216152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under55c589.27$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.194233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c457.08$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8310539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under57c450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c390.88$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcad…1d64backed Over45c365.07$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.994860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c353.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1819746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c306.34$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.521,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under57c300.79$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c293.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under64c278.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17810929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c264$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c263.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over66c252.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7438960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c248.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.231,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c232.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.511135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c225.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.212,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c217.43$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.412,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over50c212.58$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.294351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Under53c210.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under55c205.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under57c188.37$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3213548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c161.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.253390.9%30 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick71cpaid+28.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under55c150.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.531,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Under58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over49c111.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.377245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1113850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7328162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under58c108.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Under63c104.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Under59c99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.412937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over38c97.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3715949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Under57c88.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4611952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over70c87.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1922746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under54c85.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.989829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over44c84.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under56c79.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c79.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over49c75.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0323940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked Under23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.958138.3%31 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over67c74.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5852441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7717145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under55c69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under55c68.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.826952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1413830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over38c59.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c59.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.932,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over44c56.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.758750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c55.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over45c54.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Over44c52.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.093138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under48c51.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over45c47.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.428158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Under55c46.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.652857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515062.7%94 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4463152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6422449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under50c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4885851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under32c41.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3211448.2%55 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17f…92d8backed Over63c41.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.319047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over48c38.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113557.8%78 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over47c36.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5214342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under55c36.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.922441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.