Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394254ebbcb36642f375bb7410f44c55e153b2618cee00026b274a3f405db37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 4,348$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 73c | 3,276$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.75 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 2,642$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 2,381$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.67 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 38c | 1,456$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.81 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,287$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 1,276$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.88 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 70c | 1,192$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.92 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 793.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 33c | 756.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 71c | 707.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 699.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 64c | 597.55$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 26c | 569.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 67c | 457.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 38c | 405.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 349.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 26c | 326.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 291.21$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 290.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 278.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 221.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 6c | 214.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 214.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 200.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 32c | 199.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 68c | 157.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…1b84backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 148.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…98e3backed Over | 74c | 143.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 70c | 131.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 68c | 119.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 83.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 75.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 30c | 64.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 30c | 62.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…1dc7backed Under | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 31c | 57.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 69c | 55.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 29c | 54.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…18dcbacked Over | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 71c | 49.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 78c | 41.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 33c | 41.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 37.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Over | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 30c | 34.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…92d8backed Over | 67c | 26.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…723fbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…0403backed Over | 71c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5this page
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.