TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over26c8,531$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.4945428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c3,223$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c2,856$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over23c2,631$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.7659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c2,533$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c2,353$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.9712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c2,215$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over55c1,809$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.175248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under79c1,781$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over52c1,687$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.547058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over46c1,200$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.9915763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under73c910$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.326454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over24c815$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.44845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Over24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under44c459.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over22c454.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5217218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c443.66$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under74c343.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.568651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under70c320$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22416152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over22c305.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8240736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over19c299.35$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.519829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c265.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under73c260$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.839951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under77c250$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.56958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c245.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c243$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over23c239$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0323732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Under45c214.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.362646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under21c213.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.138817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under50c210.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.484641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under77c200.32$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x261c…6b12backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over74c166.89$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.378058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under75c166$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under73c156$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8837452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.513830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936e…7825backed Over14c148.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+211.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under58c145.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4323940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a19…2a91backed Under78c141.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over34c135.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.127245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under77c120$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over42c119.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4255153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over24c115.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7320330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under78c103$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3417747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775761.4%35 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7334351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under76c92.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over26c90.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6238…f5e9backed Under70c89.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under73c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.417557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under73c78.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.134851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under75c78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac04…437ebacked Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over57c63.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1652441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under62c62.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under55c61.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Under67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.25558.2%32 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over26c55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.746525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over24c52.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9370948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406373%46 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Under70c48.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over55c47.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc772…90fdbacked Over23c46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under77c45.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under65c45.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under63c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.577240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under53c33.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.260752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.945949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under78c26.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under76c24.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under45c23.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.483412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Under77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Under77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.636555.4%36 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under78c18.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under65c16.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6318764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under74c15.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2619257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.