Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedfa023fc0cc13c6c18efbad198c6ae1f82b228ffcfff78b027a6b25735d4e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 3,158$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 1,663$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 1,184$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 8c | 773.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 9c | 417$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 11c | 359.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 14c | 351.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 17c | 330.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 11c | 182.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 80c | 173.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 14c | 161$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 16c | 94.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 16c | 94.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 16c | 91.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5this page
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5Over won
- Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.