MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6648418409a20a47b21f8efbc32ddd82fa4014cb99d41002450dae3b018329bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof New York Mets, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed New York Mets | 43c | 163,400$70,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,261.91 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 122,673$67,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,675.97 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 93,333$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.83 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 81,705$47,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,639.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 49c | 22,729$11,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,137.15 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 20,929$12,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,683.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.77 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Mets | 4c | 14,186$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.1 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 20c | 13,422$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 11,468$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 8,140$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 6,597$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 6,118$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.79 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 6,005$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.5 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 30c | 5,800$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.65 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 5,212$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 32c | 4,405$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 49c | 4,330$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.7 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 4,320$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.8 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 27c | 4,040$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.44 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 3,854$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.86 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 25c | 3,800$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,647$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 3,414$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed New York Mets | 4c | 2,529$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 2,419$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.13 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Mets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,731$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,604$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…083abacked New York Mets | 31c | 1,538$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked New York Mets | 50c | 1,529$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.58 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,244$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.56 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 1,201$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 20c | 1,135$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 999.51$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 982$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.18 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 892.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.65 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 831.71$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 776.8$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets | 32c | 529.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 517.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 28c | 502.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 36c | 499.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 51c | 494.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 448$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 427.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 409.36$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…51a4backed New York Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 392.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 12c | 375.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets | 50c | 358.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 308.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Mets | 50c | 306.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 301.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed New York Mets | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 299$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets | 48c | 296.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked New York Mets | 15c | 286.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 283.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed New York Mets | 24c | 276.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Mets | 48c | 261.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 50c | 260$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 252$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…760bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed New York Mets | 8c | 249.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 248$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 244$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed New York Mets | 50c | 219.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed New York Mets | 50c | 214.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed New York Mets | 16c | 201.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.