TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c12,027$4,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,075.5810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over48c6,863$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.6475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over59c6,669$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.8111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c3,478$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.48,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over47c3,422$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.022,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c2,476$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.214,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over44c2,001$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.642,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under55c1,948$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.0386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under52c1,335$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under53c1,151$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.973,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,096$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c1,088$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.491,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under45c1,085$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.861,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6317546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c1,024$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under54c933.11$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2336048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c778.81$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.24,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c557.12$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c538$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.524,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over44c528$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.862,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over53c520$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c505.68$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c492$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.044,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c490.3$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.345,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over45c346.01$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under57c345.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under53c327.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c318.23$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.461,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c311.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.188,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over41c277.3$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8612253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Under59c259.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.592572%18 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Under53c256.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.352445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6181257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over52c227$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0423140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over49c211.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10331848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c207.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9326438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c204.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.321,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c194.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.284,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1918356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5722149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4465248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over44c130.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2943459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under61c119.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.771,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over44c116.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4868846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.883,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under61c115.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over47c113.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.211,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under33c110.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1590446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over44c101.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.212,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over50c98.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under54c93.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9914750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under80c87.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.468744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c80.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.522,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under57c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c78.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.533,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc28…ede2backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c71.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over46c69.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.252,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under52c54.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3331258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under37c53.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.494,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0816544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over61c43.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4742047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0429747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under52c33.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c5…f991backed Over51c33.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under52c28.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7539553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over59c27.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Over54c27.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2623435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…c217backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b3…d0eebacked Under60c24.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72969%20 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over57c23.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a86…4eebbacked Under67c22.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.317850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c21.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.196,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.834846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.