TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0020…4d7ebacked 76ers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Knicks38c9,655$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.9510352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed 76ers62c7,944$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.236459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks68c6,566$4,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 76ers41c5,421$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.8410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers45c4,320$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks53c3,968$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers37c3,903$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.2761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers42c3,671$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.171,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers62c2,924$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks74c2,857$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks43c2,800$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed 76ers58c2,700$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56610248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.9818044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Knicks43c2,162$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.2217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers47c1,773$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.9289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4879…86c0backed 76ers50c1,725$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.739246.7%43 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed 76ers61c1,318$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Knicks28c1,259$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.425743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed 76ers64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks40c1,058$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.8630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks50c951.97$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks66c951.02$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks43c930$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.118643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks70c896$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks56c875.29$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers60c832.38$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks55c789.47$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks63c650$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1988…a534backed Knicks30c566.32$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.113650%18 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers57c563.65$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks55c534.52$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.418557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks56c528.75$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks36c528.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.811,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers57c435.31$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed 76ers58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed 76ers40c412.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed 76ers30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed 76ers48c399.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks41c387.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked 76ers39c384.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.156240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks34c324.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks69c323.4$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Knicks69c308.88$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.544544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers51c283.43$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks41c271.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0423652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Knicks38c268.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Knicks62c264.52$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.669552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed 76ers76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Knicks42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87bb…42b0backed 76ers45c244.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks42c239$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.621,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Knicks69c234.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.223250%16 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks50c232.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks62c209.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.561,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Knicks46c201.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.099653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed 76ers48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9925550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks42c192.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Knicks54c183.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks36c173.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Knicks58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 76ers15c166$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Knicks48c165.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5723741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Knicks61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks55c159.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Knicks40c158.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.725056%28 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Knicks64c152.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.286653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Knicks70c143.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6525958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 76ers15c137$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed 76ers14c133$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked 76ers54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed 76ers58c124.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2223445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked 76ers15c122$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.313036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed 76ers61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.261253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed 76ers59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…f630backed Knicks44c118.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Knicks61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f3…9580backed Knicks36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked 76ers61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed 76ers40c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks36c96.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.139346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Knicks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks54c90.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.129956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed 76ers49c89.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0942434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Knicks36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3311648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked 76ers61c83.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Knicks61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed 76ers25c76.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0416033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed 76ers39c72.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Knicks56c70.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed 76ers34c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Knicks43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.148355.4%46 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Knicks57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.639135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.