TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No61c280.74$171 inLost-$171.2539265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon+$156.4115048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Yes46c217.61$100 inWon+$117.6112451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No54c212.61$115 inLost-$114.8156050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…4faebacked Yes44c103.88$46 inWon+$58.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes38c102.44$39 inWon+$63.5110246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…aeb8backed No62c101.53$63 inLost-$62.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No56c85.5$48 inLost-$47.8840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No55c63.1$35 inLost-$34.743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes44c59.99$26 inWon+$33.67443.2%32 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No63c47.87$30 inLost-$303066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked No56c35.71$20 inLost-$209046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No57c31.37$18 inLost-$17.7633356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed No64c31.25$20 inLost-$19.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No62c30.42$19 inLost-$18.8692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes45c26.67$12 inWon+$14.678855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes39c26.11$10 inWon+$15.9924955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked No56c24.28$14 inLost-$13.640048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.