Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b2cb5e7dc1467b49ca85dd88864516309cd23f70e154eeb03156093a250ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 33c | 2,291$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…511abacked Yes | 30c | 1,787$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…e07dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,100$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 75c | 1,049$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…3286backed Yes | 76c | 1,039$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.12 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 73c | 806.4$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.16 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 50c | 709.62$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…f1a6backed No | 3c | 689.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 68c | 680.64$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.51 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed Yes | 32c | 663.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 19c | 638.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…7a94backed Yes | 80c | 533.79$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…71c7backed Yes | 15c | 493.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 69c | 462.91$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.39 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…2763backed Yes | 31c | 456.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 76c | 435.2$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd059…2a48backed Yes | 73c | 429.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Yes | 72c | 383.55$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 51c | 340$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 17c | 300.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…812bbacked Yes | 23c | 249.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 13c | 240$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…4dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 224.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 32c | 209.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…8692backed No | 21c | 208.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…4e9abacked No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 187.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 32c | 180$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 176.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 19c | 172.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143a…874fbacked Yes | 12c | 169.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…a752backed Yes | 78c | 153.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 48c | 151.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed Yes | 34c | 148.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 21c | 138.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…4a8fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…4953backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 53c | 130.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Yes | 70c | 125.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…3b30backed Yes | 75c | 116.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 111.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…d7b8backed Yes | 16c | 108.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed Yes | 31c | 108.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 106.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked Yes | 37c | 101.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…9895backed Yes | 80c | 100.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…eed9backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…9ce2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 96.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 72c | 91.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5034…3225backed Yes | 72c | 85.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Yes | 67c | 85.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…e0c3backed Yes | 38c | 82.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…0575backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…f23ebacked Yes | 61c | 75.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…7472backed Yes | 70c | 71.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…02b6backed Yes | 71c | 70.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 26c | 66.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…20dbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…8d08backed Yes | 71c | 61.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 21c | 60.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes | 30c | 59.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Yes | 35c | 56.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…f8f3backed Yes | 73c | 54.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 30c | 40.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…595cbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a9…bc27backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…9393backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…ec6ebacked Yes | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 70c | 34.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…a843backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…2770backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…3754backed Yes | 66c | 30.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Yes | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…68efbacked Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ab…cf67backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 55c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +268%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…01d6backed Yes | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…3b6bbacked Yes | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…18fbbacked Yes | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…dd9dbacked No | 69c | 22.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…02adbacked No | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…fe4fbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…1aefbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160–165 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200–205 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205–210 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210–215 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215–220 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$160 in 2025?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.