Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4742f4c55280d1b9446d9ad575bf5ffed6c8e6e1c46b114867491f4f17409a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 4,176$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.63 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 3,045$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,850$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,846$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.14 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,795$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.51 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,432$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,161$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 39c | 929.87$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 62c | 800$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 662.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 472.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Yes | 70c | 426.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 410$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 327.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 28c | 314.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 304.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 64c | 250.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 231.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 167.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 166.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 156$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 152.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 28c | 144.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 127$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 117.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 112.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 30c | 106.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 106.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 105.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 54c | 94.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 93.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 38c | 82.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Yes | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 77.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 74.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 30c | 73.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 73c | 68.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 68.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 52c | 66.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 27c | 66.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 34c | 63.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 30c | 63.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 43c | 57.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 56.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 30c | 45.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed No | 35c | 44.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 31c | 39.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 64c | 38.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Yes | 32c | 37.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Yes | 78c | 35.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 46c | 34.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 59c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 70c | 24.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 70c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yes | 80c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes | 62c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 61c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 71c | 16.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.