TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c9,432$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.15,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes48c7,842$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.917753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes13c7,046$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.9517249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No51c6,485$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.881,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c4,551$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.892,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c2,056$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.731,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c1,818$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.121,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes55c1,769$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9924247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c1,020$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.91,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No50c796.49$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.4940448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c658.2$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3740156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes30c647.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.251520%3 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No65c529.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes36c525.8$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c409.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028732.8%94 W · 193 L-1.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c321.89$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.851,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c293.76$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes46c281.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.435655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c276.66$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3993535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c271.71$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.972,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes38c262.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c252.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4289955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No33c249.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3414745.6%67 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No54c244$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.925738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.317429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6319953.3%106 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c201.41$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7725653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes38c199.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.152744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7597…e17ebacked Yes34c188.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Yes24c178.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.063164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes67c175.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.313666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No65c138.78$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes39c126.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes14c114.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.346943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes42c106.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5416252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.95156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3523755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Yes25c99.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.466038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c98.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4840750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes35c97.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.182250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No76c92.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.495761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No54c89.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No35c84.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9413666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No32c84.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3826348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No50c79.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c70.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3346422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes39c69.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720150.7%102 W · 99 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No65c63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0514247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes22c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8611347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No78c61.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4315971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No65c60.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3328253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes57c59.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No66c59.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes26c58.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.366043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes30c57.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.535626.8%15 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes33c54.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Yes28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked No70c52.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c52.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No65c51.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed No37c51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310827.8%30 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No72c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9415470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No72c47.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.596759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes60c46.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No65c45.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986465.6%42 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.454450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No64c44.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes55c43.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285766.7%38 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes69c43.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d03…9cefbacked Yes31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Yes58c41.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes28c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Yes28c40.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes61c38.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No65c37.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3410752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked No65c37.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No76c37.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0624448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked No73c35.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes36c35.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9632560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes69c30.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3327639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7724656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No65c30.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7220860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked No65c30.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.686053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…a964backed Yes37c29.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Yes69c26.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8110344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No66c22.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7215455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No59c21.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.685664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5613951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.